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August 02, 2007

Market Displaying Signs of Improvement
The National Association of Realtors forward-looking indicator of pending home sales indicates that the market is likely to stabilize in the coming months.
The Pending Home Sales Index is based on contracts which were signed throughout the month of June showed a 5% increase from the downwardly revised index from May which was at 97.5. This number is still 8.6% below 2006 when it was at 112. The gain of 5% is the largest increase in more than three years. The last large jump was recorded in March of 2004.

A senior economist with the NAR, Lawrence Yun, states that it is encouraging to see that an increase is shown in all 4 major regions of the U.S. He notes that it is still too soon to firmly state that home sales have passed the bottom-out point.

The index is based on pending sales of existing homes and is a leading indicator for the housing sector. The sale of a home is listed as pending upon the singing of a contract and prior to the close of escrow.

Here is what the Pending Home Sales Index showed across the U.S.:

WEST: The index increased 8.6% in June to 103.6, yet it was still 5.5% below 2006.

NORTHEAST: The PHSI increased 3.1% from May to 96, which stands 2.4% below June of 2006.

SOUTH: The index increased 4.7% in June up to 111.6; however it was 12.7% below 2006.

MIDWEST: The PHSI rose 3.5% throughout June to 92.5, which in 8.2% below June 2006.

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