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August 12, 2009

Despite National Numbers, Recession Still Strong in California
California is still showing signs of increased layoffs and while the rest of the country maybe headed for recovery, our state is slow to do so. Last week, reports came out showing that the unemployment numbers were less than expected for the previous month. Analysts agree that California will probably continue to stay behind the rest of the country as tensions ease elsewhere.
The real estate market in California seems to be the biggest drag on the economy. Short sales and foreclosures are still at record numbers and continue to lead the pack when it comes to the numbers. Home construction has taken a big hit and consumers are still being quite frugal with their money. California is also experiencing a decrease in international trade and the state continues to suffer from a massive deficit.

In the United States, unemployment fell under 9 1/2 percent and registered as the first decline since April of last year. Job losses also decreased to under a quarter of a million. These numbers not only beat expectations, but also was the smallest loss in more than a year.

Experts are predicting more turmoil in the future, with unemployment continuing to rise. Even as the economy is showing signs of getting better, most of the time, employers will not begin hiring again until they are completely convinced that the recovery is really at hand.

In the months of March through May, we seemed to be on the verge of becoming more optimistic, as job losses were on the decline. But since then job losses have been on the rise. Overall California hit more than 11.5 percent unemployment. Many are predicting that unemployment will not stop until it reaches 13.5 percent in 2010.

Most of the downturn is being blamed on the housing market because California's real estate bubble was much bigger than others. Even with the latest numbers showing that the real estate market, showing an nice increase in home sales and even construction, the experts are still not optimistic. Many areas are still down almost fifty percent compared to last year.